stdClass Object ( [id] => 15412 [paper_index] => 202503-10-020690 [title] => MARKET CAPITALIZATION IN THE US- LESSONS FOR EMERGING ECONOMIES [description] => [author] => Nahabwe Patrick Kagambo John, Kagarura Willy Rwamparagi [googlescholar] => [doi] => [year] => 2025 [month] => March [volume] => 11 [issue] => 3 [file] => fm/jpanel/upload/2025/March/202503-10-020690.pdf [abstract] => This study examines trends in market capitalization of listed domestic companies in the United States from 1975 to 2022 using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) modeling approach. Time-series data sourced from the World Bank employs market capitalization of listed domestic companies (% of GDP) as the dependent variable, with autoregressive (AR) and moving average (MA) components as independent variables. Parameter estimation through conditional least squares (CLS) reveals a negative and statistically significant MA(5) coefficient (-0.844272), indicating that approximately 84.4% of past shocks persistently affect market capitalization. Projections based on ARIMA(1,1,5) model suggest a sustained average annual increase in market capitalization from 180.3% in 2023 to 230.3% by 2045. The findings highlight the importance of stable financial markets, effective regulatory frameworks, and capital market depth in driving market capitalization growth. Emerging economies are encouraged to adopt similar market-strengthening strategies to enhance their capital market performance and overall economic stability. [keywords] => Arima Modeling, Market Capitalization, Us [doj] => 2025-03-27 [hit] => [status] => [award_status] => P [orderr] => 7 [journal_id] => 10 [googlesearch_link] => [edit_on] => [is_status] => 1 [journalname] => International Journal of Global Economic Light (JGEL) [short_code] => IJEP [eissn] => 2250-2017 [pissn] => [home_page_wrapper] => images/products_image/7.JGEL.png ) Error fetching PDF file.