stdClass Object ( [id] => 14781 [paper_index] => 202501-07-019707 [title] => LIQUIDITY TRAP TO REDUCED LIQUIDITY IN UGANDA [description] => [author] => Nahabwe Patrick Kagambo John, Kagarura Willy Rwamparagi [googlescholar] => [doi] => [year] => 2025 [month] => January [volume] => 12 [issue] => 1 [file] => fm/jpanel/upload/2025/January/202501-07-019707.pdf [abstract] => This study analyzes Uganda’s economic shift from a liquidity trap to reduced liquidity using ARIMA (1, 1, 1) model. Time-series data from 1983 to 2022 reveals periods of negative real interest rates, indicating liquidity traps in 1983-1993 and 2009. Parameter estimates confirm model robustness, with AR(1) statistically significant at 59%. Forecasts predict rising real interest rates from 32.7% in 2023 to 84.1% in 2042, signaling reduced liquidity and economic challenges. The study recommends policy interventions to stabilize liquidity, support investment, and sustain economic growth. [keywords] => [doj] => 2025-01-10 [hit] => [status] => [award_status] => P [orderr] => 8 [journal_id] => 7 [googlesearch_link] => [edit_on] => [is_status] => 1 [journalname] => EPRA International Journal of Economics, Business and Management Studies (EBMS) [short_code] => IJHS [eissn] => 2347-4378 [pissn] => [home_page_wrapper] => images/products_image/2.EBMS.png ) Error fetching PDF file.