GROWTH AND INSTABILITY ANALYSIS OF AREA, PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITY OF MAJOR FOOD GRAIN AND PULSES CROPS IN HIMACHAL PRADESH


Dr. Sujan Singh
Research Investigator, Agro-Economic Research Centre, Himachal Pradesh University, Shimla-5
Abstract
The present study has been conducted with the aim to know the growth trends and instability in area, production and productivity of major foodgrains and pulses in Himachal Pradesh and to examine the relative share of area and productivity in the foodgrains and pulse production in Himachal Pradesh. To fulfill the objectives of study secondary data of 30 years and the whole period i.e. 1993-94 to 2022-23 is divided in to three sub period viz. Period I (1993-94 to 2002-03), Period II (2003-04 to 2012-13), Period III (2013-14 to 2022-23), each period consist of ten years. The study revealed that in the overall period (1993-94 to 2022-23), growth of all crops in production and productivity were found to be positive (0.58 and 1.17%) and significant at the 5 percent and 1 percent level of significance respectively, while area found to be negative (-0.58%) and significant at 1 percent level of significance. Further, the study revealed that as a whole the instability was found to be low in case of area under all selected crops as compared to production and productivity. The stability in area under all selected crops cultivator implies that all above selected crops hold a significant portion in cropping pattern. For all crops area effect was the most responsible factor for change in production of agricultural crops in Himachal Pradesh. In the overall period (1993-94 to 2022-23), the area effect is highest and responsible in case of maize (309.90%) followed by paddy (282.37%), wheat (155.29%), and pulses (150.27%), and in case of barley it have been found negative -304.31 percent.
Keywords: Area, Production, Productivity, Growth Rate, Instability Index, Decomposition
Journal Name :
EPRA International Journal of Agriculture and Rural Economic Research (ARER)

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Published on : 2025-12-10

Vol : 13
Issue : 12
Month : December
Year : 2025
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