EMPIRICAL APPROACHES TO MONETARY POLICY TRANSMISSION IN RUSSIA: DSGE AND NEW KEYNESIAN INSIGHTS
Rodion Romanovich Ukrainskiy
Researcher-Intern, Department of Theoretical Economics, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia
Abstract
This study investigates the empirical transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in the Russian Federation through the application of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) and New Keynesian (NK) models. Utilizing quarterly data from 2010 to 2024, the research analyzes how monetary policy shocks affect key macroeconomic indicators, including output, inflation, and exchange rates, under the conditions of a commodity-dependent economy and heightened external volatility. Results demonstrate that interest rate and exchange rate channels remain the dominant pathways of policy transmission, with notable asymmetries before and after major geopolitical shocks. The study offers policy recommendations to enhance the effectiveness of monetary strategies in response to external and domestic challenges.
Keywords: Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium, Monetary Policy, New Keynesian Economics, Transmission Mechanism, Exchange Rate Channel, Inflation Dynamics, Bayesian Estimation
Journal Name :
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International Journal of Southern Economic Light (JSEL)
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Published on : 2025-03-05
Vol | : | 13 |
Issue | : | 3 |
Month | : | March |
Year | : | 2025 |