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ANALYSIS OF RAINFALL TREND USING NON- PARAMETRIC METHODS AND INNOVATIVE TREND ANALYSIS TECHNIQUE DURING 1901-2019 IN ODISHA


Mr. Suraj Kumar Behera
Guest Lecturer in PG Department of Geography, MPC Autonomous College, Takhatpur, Baripada, Odisha;suraj.
Abstract
Annual Rainfall, has received a great deal of attention worldwide by researchers. The degree of variability or fluctuations in the factor varies according to locations. Hence, examining the trend of rainfall in Odisha state where agriculture plays a vital role in the states economy, which depends on monsoonal rainfall. Any change in rainfall pattern can adversely affect the agricultural production and economy of Odisha. This study examines the long-term changes and short-term fluctuations in annual and seasonal rainfall in the state of Odisha. The study analyzed the rainfall data for a period of 119 years (i.e. 1901–2019) as a whole and also at the micro scale for the state of Odisha. It used the statistical trend analysis techniques, namely Mann-Kendall (MK) test, and Sens slope estimator and Regression line for examining the trend direction and magnitude of the change over the study period. The observed variation in rainfall at different scales revealed that, the monsoon season has maximum contribution to annual rainfall and it does not have any strong trend over the study period. The outcomes of the study gives district-wise information on rainfall trends on a long-term basis , which will be helpful for the Hydrological resources department for planning and management of hydrological resources for its sustainable use and particularly for the benefits of agricultural sectors.
Keywords: Rainfall Trend Analysis, Mann-Kendall (MK) test, Sens Slope Estimator Test, Regression Technique
Journal Name :
EPRA International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research (IJMR)

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Published on : 2024-04-03

Vol : 10
Issue : 3
Month : March
Year : 2024
Copyright © 2024 EPRA JOURNALS. All rights reserved
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